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Technical Analysis
NVIDIA’s stock price is currently in a critical technical phase. After several weeks of consolidation, chart analysis shows a clearly defined trend channel that has recently been broken to the downside. The current price is testing the broken trend channel from below as resistance, representing a classic technical pattern.
Key Technical Levels:
- Breakout of the ascending trend channel at approximately $145
- Current retest phase of the broken trend channel
- Potential formation of a Higher Low in the higher timeframe (HTF)
Technical indicators suggest a possible bottom formation before attempting a new move towards the All-Time-High (ATH).
Fundamental Catalysts
GeForce RTX 50 Series
The presentation of the new GeForce RTX 50 series at CES 2025 marks a significant technological breakthrough. The new Blackwell architecture offers:
- Double the performance compared to the previous generation
- Integration of advanced AI rendering technologies
- Implementation of DLSS 4 with Multi-Frame Generation
Project Digits Innovation
With the introduction of “Project Digits,” NVIDIA is entering a new segment in desktop supercomputing:
- Strategic price positioning at $3,000
- Integration of the cutting-edge GB10 chip
- Focus on the growing AI developer market
Market Outlook
The short-term price action shows classic “Buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior, with the initial price surge following the product announcement being followed by profit-taking. This consolidation could form the foundation for a sustainable upward trend.The technical constellation combined with fundamental catalysts suggests a positive medium-term scenario, with the establishment of the Higher Low serving as a crucial milestone for further price development.
Risks and Opportunities
Risks:
- Technical resistance at the broken trend channel
- Potential delays in product launches
- General market uncertainty
Opportunities:
- Technological leadership in the AI segment
- Expansion into new market segments through Project Digits
- Potential resumption of the primary uptrend
This analysis indicates a promising position for NVIDIA in the current market environment, with both technical and fundamental factors supporting a positive development.